Turnmarks

Level Scope › Session and profile

The 80% rule

Open outside yesterday's value area, trade back inside it for two consecutive 30-minute periods, and — the rule says — there is an 80% chance of traversing the area. This fires on the second period and draws the value area as a zone.

What it looks like on a chart

A shaded band between the prior VAH and VAL, from the bar that completed the condition.

Settings, as they are actually applied on each timeframe. A dash means this scanner emits no settings string. Where a number differs by timeframe, that is a span of chart time resolved into bars.
Timeframe Bars of history it reads Settings Events, last 30 days
M1540050 rows, session-low origin, one count per touching bar; 30-minute periods counted from the session open122
M3040050 rows, session-low origin, one count per touching bar; 30-minute periods counted from the session open111

Not on H1, H4, D1. It is defined in thirty-minute periods, so it cannot be expressed above M30.

What we measured

The 80 is folklore. The reference page that teaches the rule reports about 60. And our own work on the value area found its boundaries doing nothing a distance-matched control does not. The event ships carrying both numbers and no forecast of our own.

What it does not claim

The 30-minute periods are counted from the session open, so they are the periods the rule actually means — not whatever happens to align with the clock hour.

Where the definition comes from

the 80% rule, as taught

Show 80% rule on a chart