Support and resistance levels, priced
Every chart package draws yesterday's high, the point of control, the round number. None of them says how often price actually gets there. These pages do, for 17 instruments — and for any line you type in yourself, over the next 4, 8, 24 or 48 hours.
| Instrument | Price | Hourly ATR | Levels |
|---|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | 1.16786 | 10.3 pips | 12 levels |
| BTCUSD | 77402.80 | 508 dollars | 12 levels |
| XAUUSD | 4616.68 | 19.9 dollars | 12 levels |
| USA500.IDX | 7654.82 | 12 points | 12 levels |
| GAS.CMD | 2.7342 | 15.2 points | 12 levels |
| LIGHT.CMD | 85.645 | 50.6 cents | 12 levels |
| USA30.IDX | 53272.44 | 89.7 points | 12 levels |
| GBPUSD | 1.36466 | 14.7 pips | 12 levels |
| USDJPY | 159.000 | 18.1 pips | 11 levels |
| AUDUSD | 0.71724 | 8.6 pips | 12 levels |
| USDCHF | 0.80091 | 11 pips | 12 levels |
| NZDUSD | 0.59788 | 8.3 pips | 12 levels |
| EURJPY | 185.693 | 14.7 pips | 12 levels |
| GBPJPY | 216.982 | 18.7 pips | 12 levels |
| AUDJPY | 114.046 | 11.6 pips | 12 levels |
| CHFJPY | 198.503 | 18.6 pips | 12 levels |
| CADJPY | 115.477 | 11.4 pips | 12 levels |
How the odds are worked out
2.2M observations across 17 instruments on hourly bars, 2000 to 2026. Built on everything before 2024 and then checked against everything after, which it had never seen: across 216 cells the median error was 0.6 percentage points and the largest 4.5 — the same split, and the same result, the per-instrument pages report.
Distance is measured in ATR, so a quiet Tuesday and a payroll Friday ask the same question, and one table serves every instrument — the spread between them is a few points at most. Below eight hours the hour of day counts as well; beyond a day it barely does.
None of these levels is claimed to be special. Every one we tested is reached about as often as a line drawn the same distance away on the other side. That is the argument rather than a caveat: it is exactly why one table can price any line, including one you drew yourself.
Descriptive only. No entry, no exit, no spread, no position sizing, and not a forecast.