Turnmarks

US30 forecast review, 2 to 8 November 2026

The last forecast of the week

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-06

Issued 2026-11-06 22:00 UTC, downward, from a zone between 51633.5 and 51832.3. The next level is 51120.9.

It had not resolved as of 2026-11-09 05:00 UTC: price had not reached its level.

Readings on this market have taken a median of 39 hours to reach the level they named, over the 55 that have.

Session by session

6 November the day: 51374.8 to 51319.6 (-55.2 points), range 865.7

At the close 51014.9 to 51291.1 (+276.2 points), range 753.8

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-06

Released during this session:

US Non-Farm Payrolls printed at 165K against a 65K forecast, alongside a US Unemployment Rate of 4.1% against the expected 4.2%. Later in the session, preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment landed at 51 against a forecast of 48. Earlier in the day, EU Retail Sales MoM came in at -0.7% versus the expected -0.1%.

At the close, the downward forecast issued on 5 November remained standing, with price finishing the session 60.5 points short of the target band at 51351.6.

Before the American session 51010.4 to 51014.3 (+3.9 points), range 459.0

Released during this session:

Major US economic data is scheduled ahead of the American open at 13:30 UTC, including Non Farm Payrolls, expected at 65K, and the Unemployment Rate, forecast at 4.2%. Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment is also due later at 15:00 UTC.

During the morning window, EU Retail Sales MoM reported a reading of -0.7% against a forecast of -0.1%. Fed Williams was also scheduled to speak at 09:30 UTC.

A downward forecast issued at 22:00 UTC on 5 November targeting 51351.6 on a bounce leg had not resolved by the close at 12:00 UTC, standing 337.3 points from the target band.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 51496.6 to 51011.3 (-485.3 points), range 534.8

Released during this session:

A downward bounce forecast was issued at 22:00 UTC, establishing a target at 51351.6 from a zone between 51885.2 and 52098.6. At the close of the window, the forecast had not resolved, with the quote sitting 340.3 points short of the target.

During the session, Fed Logan was scheduled to speak at 00:00 UTC, though no reading is available for the event. Ahead in the upcoming session, Fed Williams is scheduled to speak at 09:30 UTC, followed by EU Retail Sales figures at 10:00 UTC, where a -0.1% reading is expected.

Due in the next session:

5 November the day: 53440.4 to 51351.6 (-2088.8 points), range 2460.3

At the close 53702.8 to 51498.6 (-2204.2 points), range 2297.7

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-05

Released during this session:

An earlier forecast from 4 September reached its target at 02:00 UTC on a bounce leg. Later in the US window, a separate forecast from 4 November ended at 14:00 UTC as price dropped out of the zone on its bounce leg.

In economic data, US Unit Labour Costs QoQ Prel printed at -0.7% against the 0.6% forecast, while Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel arrived at 3.6% against an expected 2.8%. US Initial Jobless Claims landed at 189K compared to the 196K forecast.

At the close, a fresh downward forecast issued at 18:00 UTC on a bounce leg was standing, with the price sitting 275.6 points away from the target band.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 53500.4 to 53713.3 (+212.9 points), range 280.0

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-05

Released during this session:

At 12:00 UTC, the upward bounce forecast issued on 4 November remained standing. Price closed the session at 53713.3, sitting 1763.8 points from its target level of 51949.5, above the zone between 51411.4 and 51565.2.

Ahead in the US session, Initial Jobless Claims are scheduled for 13:30 UTC with a forecast of 195K, alongside preliminary quarterly Nonfarm Productivity (forecast 2.5%) and Unit Labour Costs (forecast 0.6%). Speeches by Fed Hammack at 13:50 UTC and Fed Barkin at 14:10 UTC are also scheduled.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 53369.2 to 53499.4 (+130.2 points), range 219.7

Resolved here: the forecast issued 4 September at 21:00 reached its invalidation level, 53550.0, at 02:00 UTC.

A long-standing forecast reached its target during the session, completing a bounce leg.

At the close, a separate forecast issued on 4 November was still standing, with price ending 1549.9 points away from its target band at 51949.5.

Due in the next session:

4 November the day: 51699.0 to 53448.2 (+1749.2 points), range 2202.4

At the close 52606.4 to 53368.1 (+761.7 points), range 965.3

Resolved here: the forecast issued 7 September at 06:00 reached its invalidation level, 53317.5, at 16:00 UTC.

Resolved here: the forecast issued 7 September at 21:00 reached its invalidation level, 53159.3, at 16:00 UTC.

Resolved here: the forecast issued 8 September at 06:00 reached its invalidation level, 53142.5, at 15:00 UTC.

Resolved here: the forecast issued 8 September at 21:00 reached its invalidation level, 53232.6, at 16:00 UTC.

Resolved here: the forecast issued 9 September at 06:00 reached its invalidation level, 53172.1, at 16:00 UTC.

Released during this session:

Five forecasts resolved during the session. A pull-back leg issued on 08 September reached its target at 15:00 UTC. At 16:00 UTC, four additional targets were reached: two pull-back legs issued on 07 September, a reversal leg from 08 September, and a reversal leg from 09 September. Earlier in the day before the session opened, a bounce leg issued on 03 November reached its target at 00:00 UTC, while a bounce leg issued at 01:00 UTC was withdrawn at 09:00 UTC.

US ISM Services PMI landed at 54.5 against a forecast of 54.8. Among routine economic data, ADP Employment Change printed at 86K against a 69K forecast, and the US Balance of Trade recorded -105B compared to the expected -108B.

At the close, an up forecast issued at 10:00 UTC on a bounce leg was still standing, with price sitting 1418.6 points from the target band.

Before the American session 51664.8 to 52594.9 (+930.1 points), range 950.6

Released during this session:

A downward bounce forecast issued at 01:00 UTC was withdrawn at 09:00 UTC before reaching its target. A new upward bounce forecast was issued at 10:00 UTC with a target band of 51949.5; at the 12:00 UTC close it had not resolved, with price sitting 645.4 points away.

During the window, the EU Inflation Rate YoY Flash landed at 4%, matching the forecast. Ahead in the American session, major releases include the US ISM Services PMI scheduled at 15:00 UTC, with a forecast of 54.8.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 51756.7 to 51665.9 (-90.8 points), range 559.6

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-04

Resolved here: the forecast issued 3 November at 12:00 reached its invalidation level, 51546.0, at 00:00 UTC.

Released during this session:

A downward forecast issued on 3 November resolved during the window, reaching its target on a bounce leg.

In economic releases, US API Crude Oil Stock Change arrived at -5.267M against a forecast of 1.75M. Ahead in the European session, major EU Inflation Rate YoY Flash data is expected at 10:00 UTC with a forecast of 3.9%.

A fresh downward forecast was issued at 01:00 UTC on a bounce leg. At the close of the window, price stood 148.7 points from the target.

Due in the next session:

3 November the day: 52014.4 to 51707.2 (-307.2 points), range 552.5

At the close 51544.5 to 51764.7 (+220.2 points), range 457.0

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-03

Resolved here: the forecast issued 3 November at 09:00 reached its invalidation level, 51657.4, at 14:00 UTC.

Released during this session:

A downward bounce forecast issued at 09:00 UTC resolved at 14:00 UTC when price reached its target. Earlier in the day, before the session opened, an upward bounce forecast from 2026-11-02 was withdrawn at 08:00 UTC.

Among the scheduled releases at 15:00 UTC, US JOLTs Job Openings landed at 7.523M against a forecast of 7.1M. US Factory Orders MoM printed at 1.8% versus the 1.2% forecast, and Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation came in at 0.5%. No reading was available for the scheduled US Midterm Elections.

At the close, a downward bounce forecast issued at 12:00 UTC had not resolved, sitting 218.7 points from its target.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 51758.4 to 51546.0 (-212.4 points), range 256.4

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-03

An earlier bullish bounce forecast was withdrawn at 08:00 UTC. A new downward bounce forecast was issued at 09:00 UTC and remained live at the end of the window, with price sitting 111.4 points from the target band.

Major US economic data is scheduled for 15:00 UTC, including JOLTs Job Openings with a forecast of 7.13M.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 51999.1 to 51758.9 (-240.2 points), range 291.9

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-03

Released during this session:

US Midterm Elections were scheduled during the window at 00:00 UTC, with no reading available for the event.

At the close at 06:00 UTC, an upward bounce forecast issued on 2 November at 15:00 UTC remained standing. The call points toward a target of 52033.3 from the 51599.5 to 51723.5 zone, with the session's close sitting 274.4 points away from the target band.

2 November the day: 51877.5 to 52008.7 (+131.2 points), range 607.7

At the close 52045.9 to 51997.6 (-48.3 points), range 516.3

Released during this session:

A downward forecast issued on 30 October was withdrawn at 14:00 UTC without its target being reached.

A fresh upward bounce forecast was subsequently issued at 15:00 UTC. At the close, it was still standing, with price 35.7 points from the target band.

In economic data, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI landed at 15:00 UTC with an actual reading of 55.5 against a 54.6 forecast, alongside ISM Manufacturing Employment at 52.4. Fed speaker Goolsbee was scheduled later in the session at 16:15 UTC. Ahead, US Midterm Elections are scheduled for 00:00 UTC.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 51972.4 to 52044.9 (+72.5 points), range 250.1

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-02

Major US calendar events ahead include the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00 UTC, with a forecast of 54.6. Fed Goolsbee Speech is also scheduled at 16:15 UTC.

At 12:00 UTC, the downward forecast issued on 30 October at 22:00 UTC was still standing on a bounce leg toward 51643.3, with price 401.6 points away from the target.

Due in the next session:

How the week ended

How the week ended

Forecasts that ended this week12
Reached the level they named8
Ended without reaching it4
Issued this week12
Still standing on Sunday7
Week open to close51877.5 to 51319.6 (-557.9 points)
Week range50798.4 to 53778.4 (2980.0 points)

The week

During the week of 2 to 8 November 2026, a total of 12 US30 forecasts reached a conclusion. Among those that concluded, 8 reached their target band and 4 ended without reaching it. Over the course of the week, 12 new forecasts were issued, and 7 of those issued remained open by Sunday.

US30 opened the week at 51877.5 and closed at 51319.6, marking a change of -557.9 points. Prices traded across a range of 2980.0 points between a high of 53778.4 and a low of 50798.4.

Economic releases during the period included US Non Farm Payrolls at 165K against a forecast of 65K, US Unemployment Rate at 4.1% against a forecast of 4.2%, and US ISM Services PMI at 54.5 against a forecast of 54.8. At the end of the week, a live forecast issued on 6 November held a down trend toward a target of 51120.9, bounded by the lower edge of the zone at 51633.5 and the upper edge of the zone at 51832.3.

Every forecast that ended this week

IssuedDirectionCorridorContinuationInvalidationReachedEnded
2026-11-04 10:00up51411.4 - 51565.251949.5bounce2026-11-05 14:00
2026-09-04 21:00up53550.0 - 53635.653550.0bounce2026-11-05 02:00
2026-09-07 06:00down53317.5 - 53394.253317.5pull-back2026-11-04 16:00
2026-09-07 21:00down53159.3 - 53236.953159.3pull-back2026-11-04 16:00
2026-09-08 21:00down53232.6 - 53369.653232.6reversal2026-11-04 16:00
2026-09-09 06:00down53172.1 - 53291.253172.1reversal2026-11-04 16:00
2026-09-08 06:00down53142.5 - 53217.353142.5pull-back2026-11-04 15:00
2026-11-04 01:00down52136.4 - 52254.551814.6bounce2026-11-04 09:00
2026-11-03 12:00down51841.2 - 51959.351546.0bounce2026-11-04 00:00
2026-11-03 09:00down51949.3 - 52066.051657.4bounce2026-11-03 14:00
2026-11-02 15:00up51599.5 - 51723.552033.3bounce2026-11-03 08:00
2026-10-30 22:00down51972.7 - 52107.551643.3bounce2026-11-02 14:00

On the calendar this week

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