Turnmarks

BTC/USD forecast review, 2 to 8 November 2026

The last forecast of the week

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-08

Issued 2026-11-08 22:00 UTC, downward, from a zone between 74891.4 and 75221.0. The next level is 74067.3.

It had not resolved as of 2026-11-09 05:00 UTC: price had not reached its level.

Readings on this market have taken a median of 28 hours to reach the level they named, over the 64 that have.

Session by session

8 November the day: 75666.2 to 74363.2 (-1303.0 dollars), range 2633.3

Before the European session 75597.7 to 75728.9 (+131.2 dollars), range 417.4

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-08

A downward bounce forecast was issued at 22:00 UTC. At the close of the window, the forecast was still standing, with price sitting 114.1 dollars from its 75614.8 target.

7 November the day: 75817.9 to 75675.7 (-142.2 dollars), range 697.6

Before the European session 75752.3 to 75864.8 (+112.5 dollars), range 484.4

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-07

A downward forecast on a bounce leg was issued at 22:00 UTC, setting a zone between 76783.2 dollars and 77336.8 dollars with a target band starting at 75437.8 dollars.

At the close of the window, the forecast had not resolved, with price standing 427.0 dollars from the target level.

6 November the day: 75572.1 to 75810.0 (+237.9 dollars), range 1543.0

At the close 76040.8 to 75778.0 (-262.8 dollars), range 1508.7

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-06

Released during this session:

US Non Farm Payrolls arrived at 165K against a 65K forecast, alongside the Unemployment Rate at 4.1% compared to the 4.2% expected. Later in the session, preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment printed at 51 versus a 48 forecast. Earlier in the day, EU Retail Sales MoM landed at -0.7% against the -0.1% forecast.

At the close, a downward forecast issued on 5 November targeting 75696.1 dollars remained standing, with price 86.6 dollars away from the level.

Before the American session 75567.9 to 76047.8 (+479.9 dollars), range 1012.9

Released during this session:

Major US economic data is scheduled ahead of the American open, with Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast 65K) and the Unemployment Rate (forecast 4.2%) due at 13:30 UTC, followed by preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 15:00 UTC (forecast 48.2). Earlier in the session, EU Retail Sales MoM landed at -0.7% against a forecast of -0.1%, while a speech by Fed Williams was scheduled at 09:30 UTC.

The downward forecast issued at 22:00 UTC on 5 November, tracking a bounce leg, was still standing at 12:00 UTC. At the end of the window, price sat 351.7 dollars from the 75696.1 target band.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 76074.6 to 75568.5 (-506.1 dollars), range 1236.8

Released during this session:

A downward forecast issued at 22:00 UTC on a bounce leg was still standing at the close, with price sitting 127.6 dollars from the target at 75696.1. The entry zone for the call spans 77210.9 to 77816.9.

During the session, Fed Logan spoke, though no reading is available from the event. Scheduled ahead of the European open, Fed Williams speaks at 09:30 UTC, followed by EU Retail Sales MoM at 10:00 UTC.

Due in the next session:

5 November the day: 80644.2 to 75596.6 (-5047.6 dollars), range 5396.0

At the close 80304.9 to 76070.4 (-4234.5 dollars), range 4859.8

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-05

Released during this session:

Five bullish bounce forecasts ended at 15:00 UTC, with three withdrawn and two failing as price moved through their zones. At 16:00 UTC, a fresh bearish bounce forecast was issued targeting 75923.8, and at the close price sat 146.6 dollars from that level.

During the window, preliminary US Unit Labour Costs QoQ printed at -0.7% against a 0.6% forecast, preliminary Nonfarm Productivity QoQ came in at 3.6% versus 2.8% expected, and Initial Jobless Claims landed at 189K compared to the 196K forecast.

Fed Logan is scheduled to speak at 00:00 UTC.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 80313.8 to 80302.1 (-11.7 dollars), range 574.7

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-05

Released during this session:

The upward bounce forecast issued on 4 November at 17:00 UTC remained active through the window. At the 12:00 UTC close, price stood 139.0 dollars short of its 80441.1 target.

No reading was available for the S&P Global Construction PMI released at 08:30 UTC. Ahead in the US session, several economic releases are scheduled for 13:30 UTC, including Initial Jobless Claims with a forecast of 195K. Speeches by Fed officials Hammack and Barkin follow at 13:50 UTC and 14:10 UTC respectively.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 80051.0 to 80317.7 (+266.7 dollars), range 896.8

A bounce forecast issued at 17:00 UTC on 4 November was still standing at the close of the session at 06:00 UTC. The forecast set an upward target at 80441.1 from the zone between 78581.8 and 79113.1, with price closing 123.4 dollars below that target.

Ahead in the calendar, Eurozone S&P Global Construction PMI is scheduled for 08:30 UTC.

Due in the next session:

4 November the day: 77759.5 to 80645.2 (+2885.7 dollars), range 5512.1

At the close 78348.6 to 80027.1 (+1678.5 dollars), range 3219.4

Released during this session:

Earlier in the day at 02:00 UTC, a downward forecast issued on 3 November reached its target. In economic data, the Eurozone YoY flash inflation rate arrived at 4% at 10:00 UTC, matching forecasts. Later in the session at 15:00 UTC, the US ISM Services PMI was released at 54.5 against an expected 54.8.

At the close, an upward forecast issued at 17:00 UTC on a bounce leg had not resolved, with price sitting 414.0 dollars below its 80441.1 target band.

Before the American session 77613.1 to 78374.0 (+760.9 dollars), range 1005.3

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-04

Released during this session:

Two forecasts ended during the window. A downward bounce call issued earlier in the day failed as the session opened, while a downward bounce forecast standing since 29 October ended at 08:00 UTC. A new upward bounce forecast was issued at 11:00 UTC targeting 78469.1 dollars; at the end of the session, price stood 95.1 dollars from the target.

In economic data, EU flash annual inflation came in at 4%, matching expectations.

Ahead in the US session, the major release on the calendar is the US ISM Services PMI at 15:00 UTC, with a forecast of 54.8.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 77750.4 to 77637.7 (-112.7 dollars), range 2448.0

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-04

Resolved here: the forecast issued 3 November at 01:00 reached its invalidation level, 76628.5, at 02:00 UTC.

Released during this session:

A downward forecast resolved at 02:00 UTC on a bounce leg as price reached its target.

A fresh downward forecast on a bounce leg was issued at 03:00 UTC targeting 76062.8 dollars. At the close of the window, price stood 1574.9 dollars from the target band.

Ahead in the session, the EU Inflation Rate YoY Flash is scheduled for 10:00 UTC, with a forecast of 3.9%.

Due in the next session:

3 November the day: 76797.5 to 77760.2 (+962.7 dollars), range 1738.3

At the close 76952.2 to 77789.0 (+836.8 dollars), range 1008.2

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-03

Released during this session:

An earlier downward bounce forecast issued on 30 October reached its target at 00:00 UTC. Scheduled calendar coverage for the US Midterm Elections carried no reading available.

During the session, major US JOLTs Job Openings for 15:00 UTC landed at 7.523M against a forecast of 7.1M. US Factory Orders MoM printed at 1.8% against a 1.2% forecast, alongside US Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation at 0.5%.

At the close, a downward bounce forecast issued at 01:00 UTC was still standing, with the close of 77789.0 leaving 1160.5 dollars to the target at 76628.5.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 76499.5 to 76952.1 (+452.6 dollars), range 897.3

Major US economic data is scheduled ahead of the American session, with JOLTs Job Openings due at 15:00 UTC, carrying a forecast of 7.1M.

A downward bounce forecast issued at 01:00 UTC was still standing at 12:00 UTC, with the price 323.6 points above its target of 76628.5.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 76628.2 to 76499.5 (-128.7 dollars), range 792.1

Resolved here: the forecast issued 30 October at 19:00 reached its invalidation level, 76474.6, at 00:00 UTC.

Released during this session:

A downward bounce forecast issued on 30 October reached its target at 00:00 UTC. Following its resolution, a new downward bounce forecast was issued at 01:00 UTC targeting 76628.5 dollars; at the end of the window, price stood 129.0 dollars from that target.

The scheduled US Midterm Elections occurred at 00:00 UTC, though no reading is available for the event.

2 November the day: 77697.6 to 76814.5 (-883.1 dollars), range 2214.4

At the close 77793.0 to 76628.5 (-1164.5 dollars), range 1576.3

Bitcoin hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-11-02

Released during this session:

The session saw US ISM Manufacturing PMI land at 55.5 against a 54.6 forecast, while ISM Manufacturing Employment reached 52.4 and a speech by Fed Goolsbee was scheduled for 16:15 UTC. Looking ahead to the next session, US Midterm Elections are scheduled for 00:00 UTC.

The standing bounce forecast issued on 30 October had not resolved at the close. Price closed 153.9 dollars from the 76474.6 target band.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 78265.5 to 77792.3 (-473.2 dollars), range 651.3

Major US data is scheduled for the upcoming session, led by the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00 UTC with a forecast of 54.6. The ISM Manufacturing Employment print is also due at 15:00 UTC, followed by a speech from Fed official Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC.

At the close of the window, the downward bounce forecast issued on 30 October remained standing, with the price sitting 1317.7 dollars above the target at 76474.6.

Due in the next session:

How the week ended

How the week ended

Forecasts that ended this week9
Reached the level they named2
Ended without reaching it7
Issued this week12
Still standing on Sunday5
Week open to close77697.6 to 74363.2 (-3334.4 dollars)
Week range73465.2 to 81112.5 (7647.3 dollars)

The week

During the week of 2 to 8 November 2026, 9 forecasts for BTC/USD ended. Of those settled forecasts, 2 reached their target band and 7 ended another way. A total of 12 new forecasts were issued throughout the week, with 5 remaining open at the close of Sunday.

BTC/USD opened the week at 77697.6 and closed at 74363.2, recording a change of -3334.4 dollars. The market reached a high of 81112.5 and a low of 73465.2, creating a weekly range of 7647.3 dollars.

The latest forecast issued during the week projects a down trend toward a target of 74067.3. It identifies a zone bounded by a lower edge of 74891.4 and an upper edge of 75221.0, noting a bounce leg and a return stage.

Every forecast that ended this week

IssuedDirectionCorridorContinuationInvalidationReachedEnded
2026-11-04 09:00up76715.3 - 77186.678364.8bounce2026-11-05 15:00
2026-11-04 11:00up76854.4 - 77315.878469.1bounce2026-11-05 15:00
2026-11-04 15:00up77540.0 - 78025.679239.6bounce2026-11-05 15:00
2026-11-04 16:00up78352.5 - 78885.980219.4bounce2026-11-05 15:00
2026-11-04 17:00up78581.8 - 79113.180441.1bounce2026-11-05 15:00
2026-10-29 21:00down81342.1 - 81858.180052.0bounce2026-11-04 08:00
2026-11-04 03:00down77115.7 - 77536.976062.8bounce2026-11-04 06:00
2026-11-03 01:00down77597.7 - 77985.376628.5bounce2026-11-04 02:00
2026-10-30 19:00down78027.4 - 78648.576474.6bounce2026-11-03 00:00

On the calendar this week

Back to the BTC/USD forecast