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US30 forecast review, 14 to 20 September 2026

The last forecast of the week

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-18

Issued 2026-09-18 21:00 UTC, downward, from a zone between 51812.4 and 51920.3. The next level is 51547.0.

It had not resolved as of 2026-09-21 04:00 UTC: price had not reached its level.

Readings on this market have taken a median of 31 hours to reach the level they named, over the 90 that have.

Session by session

18 September the day: 51775.9 to 51745.1 (-30.8 points), range 475.3

At the close 51827.4 to 51680.5 (-146.9 points), range 373.3

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-18

Resolved here: the forecast issued 16 September at 19:00 reached its invalidation level, 51544.7, at 13:00 UTC.

Resolved here: the forecast issued 16 September at 20:00 reached its invalidation level, 51475.8, at 16:00 UTC.

Released during this session:

An upward bounce forecast issued on 17 September was withdrawn at 15:00 UTC. A new downward bounce call was subsequently issued at 16:00 UTC targeting 51808.1. At the close, that forecast was still standing, with price sitting 82.5 points from its target.

In economic data, US Industrial Production MoM was reported at 0% at 13:15 UTC, below the forecasted 0.3%. The day's schedule also included speeches by Fed Governors Bowman and Schmid during the US session, following an earlier appearance by ECB President Lagarde.

Before the American session 51888.3 to 51826.9 (-61.4 points), range 169.0

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-18

Released during this session:

At 11:00 UTC, the upward bounce call issued on 17 September remained standing, with the market closing 2.2 points from its 51829.1 target.

ECB President Lagarde spoke during the window. Looking ahead to the US session, US Industrial Production MoM is scheduled for 13:15 UTC with a forecast of 0.3%, followed by a speech from Fed Governor Bowman at 13:30 UTC.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 51790.1 to 51887.4 (+97.3 points), range 154.3

An upward bounce forecast issued on 17 September targeting 51829.1 points was still standing at the close of the window.

Looking ahead, ECB President Lagarde is scheduled to speak at 10:30 UTC.

Due in the next session:

17 September the day: 51468.8 to 51778.6 (+309.8 points), range 704.1

At the close 51874.9 to 51786.1 (-88.8 points), range 535.8

Released during this session:

At 12:00 UTC, five standing forecasts ended, including two dropped bounce calls and three withdrawn positions. A new bullish bounce forecast was issued at 13:00 UTC targeting 51829.1; at the close, it was still standing, sitting 43.0 points short of its target.

In economic releases, US Housing Starts landed at 1.275M against a forecast of 1.31M, while Preliminary Building Permits printed at 1.394M against an expected 1.41M at 12:30 UTC. Alongside them, Initial Jobless Claims came in at 196K against a 208K forecast, and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index registered at 37.8 versus the 30.5 expected. At 14:00 UTC, Pending Home Sales MoM printed at 0.3% against a 2% forecast.

Before the American session 51792.4 to 51874.4 (+82.0 points), range 164.9

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-17

Major US economic calendar releases lead the upcoming session at 12:30 UTC, with Housing Starts expected at 1.31M and preliminary Building Permits forecast at 1.41M.

An active upward forecast targeting 52787.1 on a bounce leg remained unresolved at 11:00 UTC, with the market 912.7 points away from the target level.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 51545.2 to 51791.9 (+246.7 points), range 658.1

Released during this session:

US Net Long-term TIC Flows were reported at -27.9B at 20:00 UTC, against a forecasted figure of 146.3B.

At the close of the session, an upward bounce forecast issued on 11 September remained active, sitting 995.2 points below its 52787.1 target.

16 September the day: 52140.6 to 51467.8 (-672.8 points), range 1098.8

At the close 52206.3 to 51475.8 (-730.5 points), range 1098.8

Released during this session:

Two forecasts resolved during the session. The downward bounce forecast issued on 15 September reached its target at 18:00 UTC, followed an hour later by the upward reversal call issued on 15 June, which reached its level at 19:00 UTC.

On the macroeconomic calendar, US Retail Sales MoM arrived at 1.2% against a forecast of 0.8%. Later in the session, the Fed Interest Rate Decision landed at 4%, matching expectations, accompanied by the FOMC Economic Projections and the Fed Press Conference.

At the close, an upward bounce forecast issued on 11 September was still standing with its target 1,311.3 points away.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 52176.6 to 52192.5 (+15.9 points), range 141.1

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-16

Released during this session:

Major US macroeconomic data lies ahead for the coming session, led by Retail Sales MoM at 12:30 UTC with an expected reading of 0.8%.

At 11:00 UTC, a downward forecast issued on 15 September was still standing. Working on a bounce leg toward a target of 51756.5, the index ended the window 436.0 points away from the level.

Earlier in the session, EU Industrial Production MoM was reported at -0.1%, against a forecast of -0.2%.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 52090.2 to 52176.1 (+85.9 points), range 152.4

Released during this session:

A downward STC forecast was issued at 21:00 UTC, setting a target at 51756.5 on a bounce leg. At the close of the window, the forecast was still standing, with 419.6 points remaining to the target level.

In US data, the API Crude Oil Stock Change print landed showing 7.14M against an expected -1.8M. Looking ahead to the European session, EU Industrial Production MoM is scheduled for release at 09:00 UTC with a forecast of -0.2%.

Due in the next session:

15 September the day: 52433.0 to 52116.8 (-316.2 points), range 567.9

At the close 52262.1 to 52091.2 (-170.9 points), range 505.9

Released during this session:

Two forecasts resolved earlier in the day prior to the session. A downward bounce call issued on 14 September reached its target at 52188.8 at 04:00 UTC, and an upward continuation call set at 06:00 UTC reached 52165.4 at 07:00 UTC.

During the session, the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index landed at 7.6 against a 14.75 forecast, alongside the weekly ADP Employment Change reading of 16.25K.

At the close, an upward bounce forecast issued on 11 September targeting 52787.1 had not resolved, with the market ending 695.9 points below the target level.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 52188.6 to 52263.0 (+74.4 points), range 294.8

Resolved here: the forecast issued 15 September at 06:00 reached its invalidation level, 52165.4, at 07:00 UTC.

Released during this session:

A continuation forecast issued early in the window resolved within an hour as price reached its target.

At the close, an earlier bounce call issued on 11 September was still standing, with price 524.1 points away from its target.

Ahead of the American open, the US economic calendar includes the ADP Employment Change report scheduled for 12:15 UTC, followed by the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index at 12:30 UTC.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 52417.0 to 52189.1 (-227.9 points), range 258.5

Resolved here: the forecast issued 14 September at 21:00 reached its invalidation level, 52188.8, at 04:00 UTC.

A downward forecast issued at 21:00 UTC resolved on a bounce leg during the session. At the close, a prior upward bounce call from 11 September was still standing, with 598.0 points remaining to its target.

Ahead in the European session, EU ZEW Economic Sentiment Index figures are expected at 09:00 UTC with a forecast of 39.9, alongside the EU Balance of Trade at the same time.

Due in the next session:

14 September the day: 52356.2 to 52405.2 (+49.0 points), range 402.2

At the close 52473.6 to 52418.3 (-55.3 points), range 402.2

Released during this session:

At the close, an upward forecast issued on 11 September remained standing with its target at 52787.1 for a bounce. Price ended the session 368.8 points short of that level.

During the session, ECB President Lagarde was scheduled to speak at 15:15 UTC.

Before the American session 52504.7 to 52473.1 (-31.6 points), range 175.5

At 11:00 UTC, an upward forecast issued on 11 September remained active, seeking a target level of 52787.1 on a bounce leg. The index ended the window 314.0 points away from that target.

Price spanned a range of 175.5 points across the six-hour window leading into the American trading session.

Looking ahead, ECB President Lagarde is scheduled to speak at 15:15 UTC.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 52356.2 to 52504.2 (+148.0 points), range 275.0

An upward forecast issued on 11 September targeting 52787.1 on a bounce remained unresolved at the 05:00 UTC close. At the end of the window, the index stood 282.9 points below the target after expanding across a 275.0-point range.

How the week ended

How the week ended

Forecasts that ended this week4
Reached the level they named4
Issued this week8
Still standing on Sunday4
Week open to close52356.2 to 51745.1 (-611.1 points)
Week range51175.2 to 52654.8 (1479.6 points)

The week

During the week of 14 to 20 September 2026, a total of 4 forecasts for US30 concluded. All 4 reached their target band, while 0 ended in another manner. A further 8 forecasts were issued during the week, leaving 4 still active at the close on Sunday.

Over the course of the week, US30 recorded an opening price of 52356.2 and a closing price of 51745.1, marking a change of -611.1 points. High and low prices spanned from 52654.8 down to 51175.2, creating a full weekly trading range of 1479.6 points.

The week's economic calendar included scheduled updates such as US Retail Sales MoM, which showed an actual reading of 1.2%, and the Fed Interest Rate Decision, where the rate was set at 4%. US Housing Starts were reported at 1.275M. At the end of the week, the latest issued forecast indicated a down trend, pointing toward a target of 51547.0 from an upper zone spanning 51812.4 to 51920.3.

Every forecast that ended this week

IssuedDirectionCorridorContinuationInvalidationReachedEnded
2026-09-16 20:00down51800.5 - 51930.451475.8bounce2026-09-18 16:00
2026-09-16 19:00down51841.6 - 51960.451544.7bounce2026-09-18 13:00
2026-09-15 06:00up52012.2 - 52165.452165.4continuation2026-09-15 07:00
2026-09-14 21:00down52075.6 - 52188.852188.8bounce2026-09-15 04:00

On the calendar this week

Back to the US30 forecast · ← week 37