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US30 forecast review, 21 to 27 September 2026

The last forecast of the week

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-25

Issued 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC, upward, from a zone between 51032.2 and 51147.7. The next level is 51436.4.

It had not resolved as of 2026-09-28 04:00 UTC: price had not reached its level.

Readings on this market have taken a median of 36 hours to reach the level they named, over the 82 that have.

Session by session

25 September the day: 51318.3 to 51824.1 (+505.8 points), range 617.7

At the close 51454.9 to 51820.6 (+365.7 points), range 553.1

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-25

Released during this session:

A downward bounce forecast issued on 22 September ended at 16:00 UTC as price dropped. A new upward bounce forecast was subsequently issued at 17:00 UTC targeting 51436.4, and sat 355.7 points from its target at the close.

On the macroeconomic calendar, US Durable Goods Orders MoM printed at 0% against a forecast of -0.4%, while Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM arrived at 0.3% against an expected 0.6%. The final Michigan Consumer Sentiment index landed at 48.1 against a 47.6 forecast. Speeches by Fed officials Schmid and Hammack were also scheduled within the session.

Before the European session 51338.0 to 51344.8 (+6.8 points), range 129.0

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-25

Released during this session:

The standing downward forecast, issued on 22 September with a bounce leg, was still live at the end of the window. At 05:00 UTC, the index closed 686.0 points away from its target at 52030.8.

Looking ahead to the coming session, a speech by Fed Williams is scheduled for 09:15 UTC.

Due in the next session:

24 September the day: 51509.4 to 51297.6 (-211.8 points), range 418.9

At the close 51357.3 to 51364.1 (+6.8 points), range 379.5

Released during this session:

Earlier in the day, the calendar featured a major summit between President Trump and President Xi. During the session, US Initial Jobless Claims was printed at 197K against a 201K forecast, while US New Home Sales reached 0.684M against an expected 0.62M. The US Current Account landed at -246B compared to the -255B expected. Speeches were also scheduled for Fed officials Barkin, Hammack, and Paulson.

At the close, a down-trend bounce forecast issued on 22 September was still standing, sitting 690.7 points away from its 52030.8 target.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 51508.5 to 51428.8 (-79.7 points), range 179.6

Released during this session:

During the session, a summit between President Trump and President Xi took place at 00:00 UTC, for which no economic reading is available.

The STC bounce forecast issued on 22 September remained standing at the close of the window. That down-trend call carries a target at 52030.8, with the index finishing 602.0 points away from the level.

Ahead in the calendar, a speech by Fed official Williams is scheduled for 08:10 UTC.

Due in the next session:

23 September the day: 51874.4 to 51484.5 (-389.9 points), range 513.4

At the close 51873.9 to 51509.1 (-364.8 points), range 425.9

Released during this session:

A major summit between President Trump and President Xi is scheduled for 00:00 UTC, topping the calendar ahead of the upcoming session.

During the window, US economic data included the S&P Global Flash Manufacturing PMI at 57 against a 53.6 forecast, alongside the Services PMI at 58.7 compared to the expected 56. Energy data showed EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change at 2.969M against a forecast of -0.6M. Earlier in the day, European S&P Global Flash PMIs were also released, with the Composite reading coming in at 53.1.

At the close, a downward forecast issued on 22 September targeting 52030.8 on a bounce leg remained standing, with price sitting 521.7 points from the target.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 51967.9 to 51873.3 (-94.6 points), range 115.5

Released during this session:

A downward bounce call issued on 22 September was still standing at 11:00 UTC, targeting 52030.8 with the market sitting 157.5 points from that level.

During the window, Eurozone flash composite PMI printed at 53.1 against a forecast of 51.7, with services landing at 53 and manufacturing at 52.7.

Ahead in the US session, S&P Global flash PMIs are due at 13:45 UTC, with services expected at 56 and manufacturing at 53.6. A speech from Fed Governor Barr is scheduled for 14:05 UTC.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 51878.0 to 51967.4 (+89.4 points), range 128.1

Released during this session:

At 05:00 UTC, a down-trend bounce forecast issued at 16:00 UTC on 22 September was still standing with a target of 52030.8 points. By the end of the session, price sat 63.4 points short of that target.

Ahead in the European session, flash S&P Global PMI figures for the Eurozone are expected at 08:00 UTC, with the manufacturing print expected at 52.6, services at 51.5, and the composite reading at 51.7.

Due in the next session:

22 September the day: 52059.4 to 51883.6 (-175.8 points), range 717.3

At the close 52208.3 to 51878.6 (-329.7 points), range 717.3

Released during this session:

Two standing forecasts ended at 15:00 UTC: an upward bounce call was dropped as price broke lower, while a second upward bounce configuration was withdrawn at the same time. A new downward bounce forecast was subsequently issued at 16:00 UTC, and at the close it was standing 152.2 points short of its target.

In economic releases, the US weekly ADP employment change came in at 20K compared to 16.25K previously, while euro area flash consumer confidence registered at -16.5 against a expected -16. Speeches from Fed officials Williams, Jefferson, and Barkin, alongside ECB Council member Nagel, were also scheduled throughout the session.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 52049.4 to 52206.4 (+157.0 points), range 344.9

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-22

At 11:00 UTC, the upward bounce forecast issued at 19:00 UTC on 21 September had not resolved and remained standing.

Looking ahead to the US session, weekly ADP Employment Change figures are scheduled for release at 12:15 UTC, followed later by speeches from Fed officials Williams and Jefferson.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 52061.5 to 52049.8 (-11.7 points), range 111.5

Released during this session:

At 05:00 UTC, an upward bounce forecast issued before the session was still standing, with price finishing 59.2 points below its 52109.0 target.

The UN General Assembly was scheduled during the window, though no reading is available for the event.

21 September the day: 51698.9 to 52058.1 (+359.2 points), range 477.0

At the close 52088.9 to 52060.0 (-28.9 points), range 411.4

Released during this session:

A new upward bounce forecast was issued at 19:00 UTC targeting 52109.0. At the close, it remained standing with price 49.0 points away from its target. Earlier in the day before the window opened, three previous downward bounce forecasts ended at 10:00 UTC—two dropped and one was withdrawn—following another that failed at 07:00 UTC.

On the macroeconomic calendar, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index was released during the session at -0.04, down from the previous reading of 0.08.

Due in the next session:

Before the American session 51868.9 to 52089.4 (+220.5 points), range 255.0

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-21

Released during this session:

A downward bounce forecast failed at 07:00 UTC as price broke above the entry zone.

An earlier downward bounce call, issued on 18 September, remained standing at the close of the window with price sitting 423.4 points from its target.

During the session, Fed's Goolsbee spoke at 10:30 UTC. Looking ahead to the US opening, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index is scheduled for 12:30 UTC.

Due in the next session:

Before the European session 51698.9 to 51868.4 (+169.5 points), range 194.5

Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-09-21

Released during this session:

A standing downward forecast issued on 18 September remained active at the close, with price moving into the 51812.4 to 51920.3 zone on a bounce leg. The index closed at 51868.4, leaving the close 321.4 points from the 51547.0 target.

Ahead in the session, Fed Goolsbee is scheduled to speak at 10:30 UTC.

Due in the next session:

How the week ended

How the week ended

Forecasts that ended this week7
Reached the level they named0
Ended without reaching it7
Issued this week4
Still standing on Sunday1
Week open to close51698.9 to 51824.1 (+125.2 points)
Week range51112.5 to 52437.4 (1324.9 points)

The week

During the week of 21 to 27 September 2026, seven forecasts ended. Zero reached their target band, and seven ended without reaching it. Four forecasts were issued within the week, with one remaining open at the close of trading on Sunday.

US30 opened at 51698.9 and closed at 51824.1, representing a change of 125.2 points. The market traded between a high of 52437.4 and a low of 51112.5, marking a weekly range of 1324.9 points.

The latest forecast issued during the week projects an upward trend with a target of 51436.4. That forecast establishes a zone between 51032.2 and 51147.7.

Every forecast that ended this week

IssuedDirectionCorridorContinuationInvalidationReachedEnded
2026-09-22 16:00down52319.1 - 52434.552030.8bounce2026-09-25 16:00
2026-09-21 11:00up51557.3 - 51646.051867.7bounce2026-09-22 15:00
2026-09-21 19:00up51750.8 - 51853.252109.0bounce2026-09-22 15:00
2026-09-15 21:00down52620.5 - 52724.252361.0bounce2026-09-21 10:00
2026-09-16 14:00down52252.8 - 52288.552010.0bounce2026-09-21 10:00
2026-09-18 17:00down52002.6 - 52137.351666.0bounce2026-09-21 10:00
2026-09-18 21:00down51812.4 - 51920.351547.0bounce2026-09-21 07:00

On the calendar this week

Back to the US30 forecast · ← week 38