Turnmarks

CHF/JPY forecast

The forecast standing on CHF/JPY now

CHF/JPY hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC
Made — price turned up from 190.25 and is on its way to 190.79–191.01. The bright candles are what happened after; the path is drawn for shape, not schedule.

The reading takes the nearest live zone on each side of price, where there is one. Price is expected to come back into it, turn there, and travel on to the target band beyond it. It gives no date and no time.

Rebuilt before each session — 23:00, 06:00 and 12:00 UTC.

This forecast has its own page, and every CHF/JPY forecast is published as it is issued and again when it resolves: CHF/JPY feed - all markets - what else you can subscribe to.

How far a CHF/JPY pullback can go and still resume

The trend pulls back. Does it carry on, or has it turned? Measured on 4,254 CHF/JPY pullbacks since 1999 on hourly bars — 2,874 used to build the curve and 1,380 more it had never seen. Depth is measured against the swing that came before it, so a half is a pullback that has given back half the move.

CHF/JPY: how often the trend went on to a new extreme, by how deep the pullback had already gone
Pullback depthResumed
25% of the move given back75%
35% of the move given back65%
50% of the move given back51%
60% of the move given back40%
70% of the move given back31%
85% of the move given back16%
100% of the move given back0%

The halfway point for CHF/JPY is 51%: a pullback that has given back that much went on to a new extreme about half the time, so it is the depth at which this market stops being a trend that is resting and starts being a coin toss. Out of sample the curve landed 0.9 points from where it was built.

What this cannot tell you

It gives no date and no time.

If the question is really "will CHF/JPY reach this price", that is a different measurement and it has its own page: how often CHF/JPY reaches a level once it is set, by distance and within 4, 8, 24 or 48 hours.

Descriptive only, and not investment advice. Turnmarks publishes what has happened after past setups; nobody here knows what price will do next, and a page that told you otherwise would be selling you something.

The method, the calibration and the same question across 15 markets: the pullback study. Or every past marker on CHF/JPY and what followed it.

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