Will AUD/USD go up or down?

This page does not say. It publishes where AUD/USD is now against past pullbacks of the same depth, and how often the trend resumed from there. That is a measured frequency, not a direction, and it gives no date and no time.

How accurate is this AUD/USD forecast?

Every past forecast on this page is kept with the bars that followed it, so the ones that missed are visible beside the ones that did not. Nothing is claimed beyond what those show.

AUD/USD forecast

The last AUD/USD forecast, and why it was withdrawn

AUD/USD hourly bars with the forecast drawn forward from 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC — Made 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC, uptrend — back into 0.7163–0.7167, then a new extreme at **0.7201** or through to **0.7150**. The bright candles are what happened after; the fork is drawn for shape, not schedule.

This call was withdrawn on 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC because a new extreme arrived before the pull-back it was waiting for. That is not a miss: the rule stops standing behind a call once the market has moved past it, and draws the next one from where price actually is. Until it does, there is no standing forecast on this market.

Of every forecast this rule has made on AUD/USD and that has since resolved, price came back into the zone first in 68% of them. In the other 32% it reached the new extreme without pulling back into the zone at all.

Rebuilt before each session — 23:00, 06:00 and 12:00 UTC.

How far a AUD/USD pullback can go and still resume

The trend pulls back. Does it carry on, or has it turned? Measured on 4,417 AUD/USD pullbacks since 1999 on hourly bars — 2,747 used to build the curve and 1,670 more it had never seen. Depth is measured against the swing that came before it, so a half is a pullback that has given back half the move.

AUD/USD: how often the trend went on to a new extreme, by how deep the pullback had already gone
Pullback depth	Resumed
25% of the move given back	72%
35% of the move given back	63%
50% of the move given back	48%
60% of the move given back	38%
70% of the move given back	30%
85% of the move given back	16%
100% of the move given back	0%

The halfway point for AUD/USD is 48%: a pullback that has given back that much went on to a new extreme about half the time, so it is the depth at which this market stops being a trend that is resting and starts being a coin toss. Out of sample the curve landed 0.4 points from where it was built.

What this cannot tell you

It gives no date and no time.

If the question is really "will AUD/USD reach this price", that is a different measurement and it has its own page: how often AUD/USD reaches a level once it is set, by distance and within 4, 8, 24 or 48 hours.

Descriptive only, and not investment advice. Turnmarks publishes what has happened after past setups; nobody here knows what price will do next, and a page that told you otherwise would be selling you something.

The method, the calibration and the same question across 15 markets: the pullback study. Or every past marker on AUD/USD and what followed it.

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