NatGas turn markers

Open the NatGas chart Compare all 17 Latest markers

Trend	Pullback into	New extreme	Or through
▲ up	2.8635–2.8810	2.9609	2.8310

Resolved 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC: a level was reached.

NatGas 30-minute chart with Turnmarks turn markers: grey for a level still waiting, yellow for one the structure cancelled, blue and pink for levels price traded through. — NatGas · M30 · turn markers as the site draws them

What has happened after a confirmed NatGas marker

Best run before the stop, median	+3.66 ATR	+95.3 points
Reached +1 ATR	82%	26.0 points
Reached +2 ATR	63%	52.1 points
Reached +3 ATR	56%	78.1 points

Priced at this instrument's median hourly ATR over the measured period.

Measured over 142 confirmed markers between March 2023 and August 2026 — about 3 a month — on 30-minute bars from a live broker feed.

The best time to trade NatGas

The NatGas forecast, as a probability

ATR is the average size of an hourly bar at the time of the marker — how much this instrument was moving that day. Everything above assumes a stop on the far side of the range the marker left: the run is measured only until price comes back through it, and a target counts only if it was reached first. The best run is the median — the middle marker — not the average: a handful of runs reach twenty ATR and more, which lifts an average by half again and puts it oddly beside the reach rates under it. A median has to land where those rates cross half; an average does not. The how it works page explains the measurement in full, and what confirmed means.

NatGas ranks 10th of 17 on typical run, below the median for this list. The markers are not evenly split: 56% point down, over a period in which that direction simply came up more often. It is a fact about this sample, not a bias in the rule.

Separately from the markers, and measured the same way: when NatGas actually moves — the median fifteen-minute range at every hour of the day, which hours are dead, and where the outsized bars have clustered. And how deep a pullback goes before a trend stops resuming — measured across the other markets, not on NatGas, which the study leaves out.

These are descriptions of what price did in the past, on one broker's feed. They are not a backtest and not a forecast: there is no entry rule, no exit rule, no spread and no position sizing in them, and nothing here says what anyone would have earned. Turnmarks is chart analytics, not advice. Trading carries risk, including the loss of your capital.

How to follow NatGas

The chart is open without an account, and on the free plan it runs 8 hours behind — the price bars as well as the markers, not just the markers. A subscription removes the delay and sends a Telegram/Discord message the moment a NatGas marker appears, if you tick it in the account page. Nothing is sent for instruments you have not chosen. The reading at the top of this page is not delayed for anyone: it is published hourly and served to everybody alike.

Open the NatGas chart Create a free account

NatGas forecast

There is not one on this page, and that is deliberate. Nothing here predicts where NatGas goes next. Every figure above is a count of what has already happened — after a confirmed marker, or after a pullback of a given depth — on one broker's feed. A frequency describes a past distribution; it does not say what the next bar will do, and anyone selling you the difference is selling you something else.

What is here instead, measured rather than predicted: what a pullback in NatGas is worth knowing about, from the markets the study does cover rather than from this one, on pullbacks; which hours it actually moves in; and how far it travels in a typical day, year by year. What you do with those is yours.

About NatGas

A contract on US natural gas, priced per million British thermal units and quoted as NatGas.

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